Monday, 16 October 2017

Reporting WIDREB market numbers at the 3/4 mark of year

September of 2016 actually well below average, but year still on pace to set new record 

Average sales price of a home is $338,368

By Mark Schadenberg
The numbers are in.
September was significantly lower in sales results versus September of 2016 as only 83 units sold last month for a 28.4% reduction.
Look under the press releases tab at www.widreb.ca (Woosdstock - Ingersoll district) as the overall report for the first 9 months of 2017 still indicates a good year – 1,283 transactions for a 10% increase over last year’s record numbers.
The first 9 months of this year compared to recent years:
Year            Total Sept Sales         Year           Total Sept Sales       
2017                   83
2016                  118                        2015                  114
2014                  123                       2013                  127                   
2012                    99                       2011                  118                     
2010                  110                       2009                  102                     
2008                  124                        2007                  105                   

The year-end totals in recent years:
2016: 1545                            2015: 1424                      2014: 1180                          
2013: 1252                            2012: 1066                       2011: 1158               
2010: 1216                           2009: 1080                       2008: 1176                           
2007: 1359                            2006: 1278                      2005: 1473 (Correct) 
Average for past 12 years: 1267.
As you can see, the first 9 months of 2017 already tops the average of the past dozen years (1,283 compared to 1,267).
With homes selling quickly (low days-on-market results), inventory or active listings continues to be low, but even without that theory the numbers of available homes to purchase are still low, so prices have moved upward. Here’s the prose from the WIDREB press release:

The average price of homes sold in September 2017 was $338,368, rising 20% from September 2016. The year-to-date average price was $342,419, up a similar 21.2% compared to the same month last year. 
New listings numbered 144 units in September 2017, down 7.1% from September 2016. Active supply is still trending near all-time lows, although it is up from even lower levels at this time last year. There were just 302 active residential listings on the Board’s MLS® System at the end of September 2017, up 19.4% from levels at the end of September 2016 but still below the same time in all other years.

It would appear though that 2017 will surpass the total year-end numbers of 2016 just as last year topped both 2015 and the previous record set in 2005.



London – St Thomas
In the LSTAR geographical area, the 9,000 barrier of transactions was surpassed during October, and this also marked the third consecutive September in which more than 800 transactions were reported.
The average sale price over both London and St Thomas and in all styles of homes was $318,347.
The St Thomas average sale price is just over $270,000
The area’s association of Realtors press release is on their website, and it notes that condominium sales increased in September, but the totals for detached homes was down by almost 10%.
There are more than 1,700 Realtors in LSTAR making it among the top 15 associations in Canada.

Both charts above depicted London - St Thomas board stats

Guelph
I include the Guelph area in my monthly report this time as it’s always a strong indicator as a zone between the GTA and the Woodstock area. If sales are slipping in Guelph, they will likely be trending down in Woodstock – Ingersoll.
The accompanying chart will note how prices have decreased in the Guelph area market, which includes all of Wellington County.
Here is an excerpt from the Canadian Real Estate Association website of www.crea.ca
According to statistics provided by the MLS® System of the Guelph and District Association of REALTORS®, home sales numbered 211 units in September 2017. This was down 23.6% from the record September last year.














Owen Sound Area
Not every district is re-writing the record books as Grey-Bruce has seen sales totals more than 25% lower in September of 2017 as compared to 12 months earlier, but as has been seen in other regions it’s low inventory that seems to be writing the story.
Steve Dickie, president of the Realtors Association of Grey Bruce Owen Sound, said: “Last year was the extreme year, and now we are kind of seeing a return to not normal levels, but reasonable levels. It is just a factor of the low inventory.”
The total of 2406 transactions is almost tied with the first three-quarters of 2016.
The average price of homes sold in September was $284,249, up 9.6 per cent from last year, while the year-to-date average price at the end of September was $290,293, which is up 12.2 per cent from the first three quarters of 2016.


August Reports:




Mark Schadenberg, Sales Representative
Senior Real Estate Specialist (SRES designation)
Royal LePage Triland Realty
Independently Owned & Operated, Brokerage
757 Dundas St, Woodstock
(519) 537-1553, cell or text
Email: mschadenberg@rogers.com

Twitter: markroyallepage
Facebook: Mark Schadenberg, Royal LePage Triland

Discussion . . . Direction . . . Determination . . . Destination
Picture of myself with Royal LePage president Phil Soper
to mark my sales results of 2015 

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