Tuesday, 17 May 2016

My math says home prices have risen by 14.7% in past 12 months

WIDREB reported stats have average residential sale at $271,543 for April of 2016

Pace of real estate sales in our region surpassing just about every previous year

By Mark Schadenberg
Using the assumption that not all listings sell, I think it’s safe to decipher the April statistics in WIDREB by say that the new of new listings (186) was about equal to the number of sales (155).
It’s a relief to see the number of listings actually growing as our market, which I have written about in many recent posts about sales totals, has been very low on active inventory.
If a hardware store has only 5 wrenches on its shelf, but the stock room manger knows he sells at least 8 wrenches every month, then the price will go up based on principles of ‘supply and demand’.


Graph from: www.cometothecrossroads.com
Sales numbers in the Woodstock-Ingersoll District real estate board (WIDREB also includes Norwich, Innerkip, Sweaburg, Beachville, Embro, Mt Elgin, Hickson, Drumbo and points in-between), depict that 2015 was a very strong year in sales.
THE NUMBERS
Year-By-Year Numbers
2015: 1424
2014: 1180                           2013: 1252                              2012: 1066                  2011: 1158               
2010: 1216                            2009: 1080                            2008: 1176                            2007: 1359               
2006: 1278                            2005: 1473 (Correct) 
Average for past 10 years: 1242
Keep in mind, these stats are solely for reported MLS activity, and do not include private sales or custom-built contracts not ever advertised (listed) MLS.
APRIL 2016
Remembering that listings numbers are low, the 2016 calendar is off to a quick start through 4 months topping every year over the past 10 years with 154 sales and 477 total over the first 1/3 of the year.
Here are the numbers with aPRIL sales totals noted first and then the 4-month total. Its easy to see which years had astounding numbers 2016, 2015, and 2010, and that 2012 was not a great winter / spring to be a Realtor.
2016                154                  477                                          2015                142                  428     
2014                121                  325                                          2013                127                  399
2012                93                    346                                          2011                103                  391
2010                162                  447                                          2009                101                  265
2008                130                  394                                          2007                107                  420

In the WIDREB area, the average price of a home has leaped to $271,543 from 236,774 just 12 months earlier for an increase of 14.7%. The last time I witnessed a 12-month surge like this was in 2005 when Toyota announced it would be building an assembly facility in Woodstock.
In recent years, the increase in home values was quite stagnant:
2016: 271,543
2015: 236,774
2014: 237,713
2013: 238,186
2012: 227,790
2011: 209,589
2010: 221,653
There are many other factors in play, such as the average cost of some of the larger new 2-storey homes is above $400,000, plus the cost of a building lot has moved upwards too.
As comparison, the average sale price in Kitchener-Waterloo in April was higher the $365,000, and in Guelph was 399,600, and in Mississauga was 654,000.


COST OF BUILDING NEW SCHOOLS
Property taxes on new construction in the Kitchener area are going up to assist in the cost of building new schools in newer subdivisions. It truly is the cost of growth.
The story in the Waterloo Region Record (http://www.therecord.com/news-story/6559295-school-taxes-soar-on-new-homes-businesses/ ) indicates this one-time cost will be applied to the builders in that region in the form of development charges, but after June 1 of this year the builder will then add it to the price of the completed home.
Tax paying families with (or without) school-aged children must keep in mind that it is not only the cost of the new building of  a school which is a factor, but certainly also the cost of the land itself. Read the newspaper story attached, but it can be noted the total tax on a new home in the Kitchener area is over $30,000.
It seems the numbers are the story here as the Waterloo Region currently has 83,700 students, but are projecting as many as 111,000 by 2031.
 From: Waterloo Region Record newspaper

LINKS:





Mark Schadenberg, Sales Representative
Senior Real Estate Specialist (SRES designation)
Royal LePage Triland Realty Brokerage
757 Dundas St, Woodstock
(519) 537-1553, cell or text
Email: mschadenberg@rogers.com
Twitter: markroyallepage
Facebook: Mark Schadenberg, Royal LePage Triland

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