Saturday, 12 November 2016

October totals for WIDREB indicate a record could be broken

Real estate reported stats in communities such as London and Winnipeg are also impressive

Statisticians would say high sales numbers are surprising as total number of listings is quite low 

By Mark Schadenberg
If you accept the challenge, the medieval sayings is that you are going to “thrown down the gauntlet”.
I’m therefore curious: What is a gauntlet?
The heavy armoured gloves worn by combatants in a duel are called a gauntlet, so in a era long ago, there was two terms to throw down the gauntlet to make a challenge and then for the opposition to accept the battle they would take up the gauntlet.
The Woodstock-Ingersoll district real estate market (WIDREB) appears to be ready to accept the quest of attempting to out subdue the sales totals of 2005 when 1,473 transactions were recorded in one calendar.
With 141 transactions tabulated for October, the 10-month total now stands at 1,346 – just 78 short of last year and only 127 away from the remarkable 2005. The benchmark is always 2005 as that was year when Toyota announced it was to build a manufacturing facility in Woodstock – a factory which would open in the autumn of 2008. The Toyota news in June of 2005 was considered a poorly kept secret as the land consolidation by Oxford County and the City of Woodstock (Purchasing or expropriating property from land owners and negotiating a boundary adjustment with Blandford-Blenheim Township which would encompass half of East wood and travel east to Blandford Road.)


When we look at the 10th month in the calendar, for example, in 2011, there were just 52 sales in October.
These are the exact numbers I post almost monthly as the year-end figures are a true comparison.
Year-By-Year Numbers (Totals in WIDREB)
2015: 1424
2014: 1180                           2013: 1252                            2012: 1066               2011: 1158               
2010: 1216                            2009: 1080                            2008: 1176                            2007: 1359               
2006: 1278                            2005: 1473 (Correct) 
Average for past 10 years: 1242

INVENTORY IS LOW
The supply and demand scale certainly still favours the sellers as new listings in October were only 149, while the previous 4 year were: 141 (2015), 174 (2014), 150 (2013) and 171 (2012).
If you’re interviewing a Realtor to possibly list your home or to assist you in a purchase, be sure to quiz them on the recent stats as the numbers truly do set the stage for the process of buying / selling currently. After that appointment is done, call me.

MISLEADING AVERAGES?
Since there were 2 farms sold for a total of $3,900,000 in October, and because WIDREB does not remove those numbers from the big picture, the average sale in October was a record -- $322,338, which is a dramatic increase over the October 2015 announcement of $264,509. There were also 14 sales recorded between $500,000 - $749,000, while the first 9 months of the year had a total of 35 (3.89 per month) in that high price bracket.



OTHER AREAS
Woodstock is certainly not the only geographical area setting records as Winnipeg is on pace to beat its best-ever year of 2007. The Manitoba city had 1,138 sales reported in October. The 13,079 record from 9 years ago will likely be broken. The average sale price for a detached home is 303,660, which marks a 3% increase this year. (See link below).


Closer to home – the London Free Press this month (November) already has printed stories about new construction in Old South (In fill or replacing older homes), and the fact residential construction starts are at record levels, including surpassing 2015 already. The Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation (CMHC) also tracks vacancy rates in major markets, which is a statistical device builders use to indicate a great time to build new rental (multi-family) projects.
The London - St Thomas Association of Realtors (LSTAR) is always quick to report its numbers as a Nov 3 edition of the Free Press noted that October sales of 825 easily set a new record as the old standard for October was 2007 and that was 711 firm deals.  



LINKS:


Mark Schadenberg, Sales Representative
Senior Real Estate Specialist (SRES designation)
Royal LePage Triland Realty
Independently Owned & Operated, Brokerage
757 Dundas St, Woodstock
(519) 537-1553, cell or text
Email: mschadenberg@rogers.com
Twitter: markroyallepage
Facebook: Mark Schadenberg, Royal LePage Triland

Discussion . . . Direction . . . Determination . . . Destination

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